UPSI Digital Repository (UDRep)
Start | FAQ | About

QR Code Link :

Type :article
Subject :Q Science (General)
Main Author :Nur Hamiza Adenan
Additional Authors :Adib Mashuri
Nor Zila Abd Hamid
Title :Determining the chaotic dynamics of hydrological data in flood-prone area
Place of Production :Tanjong Malim
Publisher :Fakulti Sains dan Matematik
Year of Publication :2019
Corporate Name :Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris

Abstract : Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris
Flood-prone areas are associated with hydrological time series data such as rainfall, water level and river flow. The possibility to predict flood is to relate all the three data involved. However, in order to develop a multivariable prediction model based on chaos approach, each datum needs to identify chaotic dynamics. As such, the Sungai Galas, Dabong in Kelantan, Malaysia which is a flood disaster area has been selected for the analysis. Rainfall, water level and river flow data in this area were collected to be analysed using the Cao method to identify the presence of chaotic dynamics. The hydrological data is uncertain, which is difficult to predict because the data involved is located in the area of flood disaster. The analysis showed the presence of chaotic dynamics on rainfall, water level and river flow data in the Sungai Galas which involved uncertain data located in flood affected areas by using Cao method. Therefore, a multivariable flood prediction model can be implemented using a chaos approach.  

References

[1] N. H. Adenan, M. S. M. Noorani. Multiple Time-Scales Nonlinear Prediction of River Flow using Chaos Approach, Jurnal Teknologi, Vol. 78, No. 7, 1-7, 2016.

[2] W. N. A. W. M. Zaim, N. Z. A. Hamid. Peramalan Bahan Pencemar Ozon (O3 ) di Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris, Tanjung Malim, Perak, Malaysia mengikut Monsun dengan Menggunakan Pendekatan Kalut, Sains Malaysiana, Vol. 46, No. 12, 2523–2528, 2017.

[3] X. Li, J. Sha, Y. Li , Z. L Wang. Comparison of Hybrid Models for Daily Streamflow Prediction in a Forested Basin, J. Hydroinformatics, Vol. 20, No. 1, 191–205, 2018.

[4] L. Cao. Practical Method for Determining the Minimum Embedding Dimension of a Scalar Time Series, Phys. D Nonlinear Phenom., Vol. 110, No. 1–2, 43–50, 1997.

[5] D. X. She, X. Yang. A New Adaptive Local Linear Prediction Method and Its Application in Hydrological Time Series, Math. Probl. Eng., Vol. 2010, 1–16, 2010.

[6] N. H Adenan, N. Z. A. Hamid, Z. Mohamed, M. S. M. Noorani. A Pilot Study of River Flow Prediction in Urban Area Based on Phase Space Reconstruction, The 24th National Symposium on Mathematical Sciences (SKSM24), vol. 1870, 040011, 2017.

[7] N. Z. A. Hamid. Application of Chaotic Approach In Forecasting Highland’s Temperature Time Series, IOP Conf. Ser. Earth Environ. Sci., Vol. 169, No. 1, 012107, 2018.

[8] N. Z. A. Hamid, M. S. M. Noorani. Suatu kajian perintis menggunakan pendekatan kalut bagi pengesanan sifat dan peramalan siri masa kepekatan PM10, Sains Malaysiana, Vol. 43, No. 3, 475–481, 2014.

[9] M. L. Sapini, N. S. Adam, N. Ibrahim, N. Rosmen, N. M. Yusof. The Presence of Chaos in Rainfall by using 0-1 Test and Correlation Dimension, AIP Conference Proceedings, , Vol. 1905, No. 1, p. 050040, 2017.

[10] Bernama, Terkini: Banjir di Kelantan, Terengganu, Pahang tambah buruk, Nasional, Berita Harian, 23 Dec 2014.

[11] H. D. I Abarbanel. Analysis of Observed Chaotic Data. New York: Springer New York, 1996.

[12] N. Z. A. Hamid, N. H. Adenan, M. S. M. Noorani. Forecasting and Analyzing High O3 Time Series in Educational Area through an Improved Chaotic Approach, AIP Conference Proceedings, Vol. 1870, 2017.

[13] W. L. U. Ouyang, X. Xin, Y. Zhang, W. Cheng, T. Yu. Monthly Rainfall Forecasting using EEMD-SVR Based on Phase-Space Reconstruction, Water Resour. Manag., Vol. 30, No. 7, 2311–2325, 2016.

[14] N. H. Adenan, M. S. M. Noorani. Peramalan Data Siri Masa Aliran Sungai di Dataran Banjir dengan Menggunakan Pendekatan Kalut. Sains Malaysiana, Vol. 44, No. 3, 463– 471, 2015.

 


This material may be protected under Copyright Act which governs the making of photocopies or reproductions of copyrighted materials.
You may use the digitized material for private study, scholarship, or research.

Back to previous page

Installed and configured by Bahagian Automasi, Perpustakaan Tuanku Bainun, Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris
If you have enquiries, kindly contact us at pustakasys@upsi.edu.my or 016-3630263. Office hours only.