Forecasting modelling of adolescent pregnancy crisis in Malaysia using Runge-Kutta fourth order method

Farah Liyana Azizan

Abstract

Despite the significant dangers that countries suffer when adolescent pregnancy is neglected, this major problem usually receives little attention. In recent decades, the number of teenage girls who get pregnant has increased worldwide. Therefore, this issue has become many countries' main public health concern. This paper aims to use MATLAB to estimate Malaysian teen pregnancy data for the next few years and to find missing data for a particular year. Since the Runge-Kutta is used to forecast the prevalence of adolescent pregnancy in Malaysia, the comparison reveals that the two sets of data are distinct. Therefore, the order four Runge-Kutta method is insufficient to approximate incomplete data for adolescent pregnancy. Although the results show that adolescent pregnancy has decreased over time, we must continue to treat this issue seriously. It is necessary to educate teenagers about sex education and safe pregnancy. Educating the young about the risk of having pregnancies in their early years is also necessary. Additionally, it is necessary to provide special consideration to those who did not grow up in a good environment and belong to a family unit that does not function in a healthy way according to social norms. Keywords: adolescent pregnancy, Malaysia, Runge-Kutta, teenage girls

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