A pilot study of river flow prediction in urban area based on phase space reconstruction

Nur Hamiza Adenan

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Type :	article
Subject :	Q Science (General)
ISSN :	0094243X
Main Author :	Nur Hamiza Adenan
Additional Authors :	Nor Zila Abd Hamid Zulkifley Mohamed Mohd Salmi Md Noorani
Title :	A pilot study of river flow prediction in urban area based on phase space reconstruction

Year of Publication :

2017

Abstract :

River flow prediction is significantly related to urban hydrology impact which can provide information to solve any problems such as flood in urban area. The daily river flow of Klang River, Malaysia was chosen to be forecasted in this pilot study which based on phase space reconstruction. The reconstruction of phase space involves a single variable of river flow data to m-dimensional phase space in which the dimension (m) is based on the optimal values of Cao method. The results from the reconstruction of phase space have been used in the forecasting process using local linear approximation method. From our investigation, river flow at Klang River is chaotic based on the analysis from Cao method. The overall results provide good value of correlation coefficient. The value of correlation coefficient is acceptable since the area of the case study is influence by a lot of factors. Therefore, this pilot study may be proposed to forecast daily river flow data with the purpose of providing information about the flow of the river system in urban area.

References

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